Free MLB Sports Betting Bets! Best Odds, EV plays, Arbs, for Wednesday September 24th.
Happy Wednesday! We have 15 MLB games on deck for today so let's jump right into sports betting picks for today!
Bet 1: Jonah Heim Over 0.5 Hits
Book: BetMGM
Odds: -125 (Can take up to -136)
On BetMGM we're getting this bet at -125 and the fair market value which is calculated from other books like (Caesars, DraftKings, PointsBet) is around -136. Getting this at -125 on BetMGM gives you a 3.6% edge over the true odds.
Caesars: -152
DraftKings: -166
PointsBet: -165
Other books are posting this line higher than the -125 line which indicates they believe Heim has a higher probability of going over the line of 0.5 hits. MGM is on an island with their -125 line.
Bet 2: Judge Over 0.5 RBI's
Book: Bet365
Odds: +125 (Can take up to +118)
Relief Pitcher Fraser Ellard is starting for the White Sox who has nearly a 5.0 ERA on the season in save opportunities. There is an O/U on this game of 9.5 which is the highest on the entire slate, (Yankees team total is 5.5).
On Bet365 we're getting this bet at +125, yet other books have this priced much lower.
Caesars: +105
DraftKings: -104
PointsBet: -105
Given these numbers, the fair value on this bet comes out to +118. With a EV% of 3.2. Combine the EV with a favorable pitching matchup, high team total, this bet on Aaron Judge looks great today!
Bet 3: Eaton Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBI's
Book: Hard Rock
Odds: +120 (Can take up to +102)
The Red Sox third baseman has a hard hitter vs pitcher matchup today as he takes on Right handed ace Max Scherzer. Eaton’s better numbers come vs. lefties; vs. righties he is more limited. When facing a quality right-hander like Scherzer, the conditions are unfavorable for him.
On this bet we're getting a great number at +120 when compared to other sharp books.
Caesars: -108
DraftKings: -118
Getting this bet at +120 translates to a nearly 9.0% EV on this bet.
Bet 4: Cardinals / Giants Over and Under 16.5 Total Hits
Books: Bet365 And PropBuilder
Odds: +170/-130
This is an arbitrage bet meaning you bet on both outcomes and no matter what happens in the game you win money.
Let's say you take the Over 16.5 Total Hits on Bet365 at +170 odds for $79.17. If this side hits you win $213.
Let's say you take the Under 16.5 Total Hits on PropBuilder at -130 odds for $120.83 If this side hits you win $213.
Total amount invested: $200
Total amount returned: $213
No matter the result you make at least $13
All of these picks were found via Pick The Odds. Pick The Odds is a comprehensive sports betting platform designed for bettors seeking to gain an edge through data-driven tools and real-time analytics. With tools such as the Odds Screen, Positive EV, Arbitrage, and more we have you covered for all yours sports betting needs.
