The NFL season is upon us! The Eagles take on the Cowboys tonight to open the season, let's take a look at some of the top sports betting options.
Pick #1: AJ Brown Over 5.5 Receptions
Book: PointsBet
Odds: +145 (Can take up to +136)
Starting off the season with the Super Bowl Champion AJ Brown to go over 5.5 Receptions here. Dallas ranked 17th in pass defense last year and with the loss of Micah Parsons I can't imagine the defense being much better in general.
The odds are on our side here at +145 as well. Two other sharp books Pinnacle and DraftKings have his line at +121 and +120 respectfully. Meaning the market thinks this line should be around +120ish not +145. Nearly 25 cents of value here.
Pick #2: Jake Ferguson Under 3.5 Receptions
Book: NoVig
Odds: +145 (Can take up to +136)
Last year the Eagles ranked #1 in defending the TE. Last year in two games against the Eagles Ferguson combined for 42 yards. With the addition of Pickens that could eat into some targets from Ferguson.
On NoVig we're getting this play at +145. Pinnacle and FanDuel have this play +124 and +118 respectfully. Fair value around +136 with a 4% EV. Stats and odds back this play up.
Play #3 Jalen Hurts Over 13.5 Longest Rush
Book: Bet365
Odds: -105
The Cowboys allowed 137.1 yards per game, ranking near the league bottom. Like I just mentioned Micah Parsons is no longer in Dallas. So a defense that was already bad has gotten even worse. Last time Hurts saw Eberflus (Dallas DC) Hurts rushed / scrambled 17 times. I expect something similar here and we just need one of those carries to go for 14+.
Getting the best odds on this play as well on Bet365. We're paying -105 when the rest of the market is closer to -111.
Play #4 Jalen Tolbert Over 0.5 / Under 0.5 Receptions
Books: Bet365 / ESPNBet
Odds: -280 / +475
This is an arbitrage bet meaning you bet on both outcomes and no matter what happens in the game you win money.
Let's say you take the Over 0.5 Receptions on Bet365 at -280 odds for $161.81. If this side hits you win $219.
Let's say you take the Under 0.5 Receptions on ESPNBet at +475 odds for $38.19. If this side hits you win $219.
Total amount invested: $200
Total amount returned: $219
No matter the result you make at least $19
All of these picks were found via Pick The Odds. Pick The Odds is a comprehensive sports betting platform designed for bettors seeking to gain an edge through data-driven tools and real-time analytics. With tools such as the Odds Screen, Positive EV, Arbitrage, and more we have you covered for all yours sports betting needs.
