Happy Friday! Yesterday's picks were solid as they went 3/4, sadly UT Rio Grande did not cover -1.5 so we didn't get the sweep but we can't complain about 75%. Onto today we finally have a nice sized NBA slate, a pair of NHL games, and a full CBB slate. Let's jump right into the sports betting picks as we close out this week and look forward to the weekend!
Bet #1 Sion James Over 2.5 Rebounds
Book: Bet365
Odds: -120 (Can take up to -142)
Sion James’ over 2.5 rebounds stands out as a strong prop backed by both recent form and season-long production. He has cleared this line in 3 of his last 5 games, showing consistent involvement on the glass with multiple outings of 3+ rebounds. On the year, he’s averaging 3.1 rebounds per game, already above the posted number, which suggests the current line is slightly mispriced relative to his true baseline. James’ combination of size, activity, and defensive versatility keeps him around the rim frequently — especially in matchups where he’s tasked with guarding wings who generate longer rebound opportunities. His minutes have been stable, his rebounding trend is steady, and his role naturally puts him in position to grab at least a few boards per night. All of that makes the over 2.5 rebounds a data-supported, +EV angle for today’s slate.
This Sion James over 2.5 rebounds prop is +EV because you’re getting it at –120, while the fair value is priced at –142, creating a clear edge supported by the market. The EV% comes in at 7.5%, driven by sharp books heavily favoring the over — with major sharp indicators sitting at –160, –165, and even –170. When the sharpest lines in the market are 40–50 cents higher than what you're able to bet, it signals that the current price is misaligned and offering real value. Add in James’ consistent rebounding production and the fact that the market’s strongest signals agree on the over, and this becomes a well-supported +EV play backed by both data and pricing inefficiencies.
Bet #2 Barrett Hayton Over 1.5 Shots On Goal
Book: ProphetX
Odds: +107 (Can take up to -103)
This Barrett Hayton over 1.5 SOG play is +EV because you're grabbing it at +107, while the fair value sits at –103, creating a meaningful pricing gap in your favor. The model gives it a 5.0% EV, driven by sharp books carrying this same prop at –118 to –120, which shows that the true market consensus expects Hayton to go over far more often than the price you're paying. Add in the fact that he has 13 shots over his last 5 games and has cleared 1.5 SOG in 3 of those 5, his recent volume directly supports the over. When the sharpest books are heavily shaded toward the same outcome and you're getting a plus-money number, that’s exactly the type of market discrepancy that produces a strong +EV betting opportunity.
Bet #3 California Baptist vs Eastern Washington Over 150.5 Total Points
Book: Caesars
Odds: -110 (Can take up to -119)
Us taking California Baptist vs Eastern Washington over 150.5 total points looks like a smart play because both teams play at extremely high paces and have historically yielded high-scoring games. Eastern Washington consistently ranks among the nation’s fastest offenses, pushing tempo and piling up possessions, while California Baptist’s style also favors quick shots and transition scoring, creating conditions where defenses struggle to keep up. In recent meetings and throughout the season, both teams have allowed opponents to score efficiently, and their combined offensive ratings tend to push totals well above 150. With uptempo lineups, heavy 3-point shooting, and defensive metrics that lag behind their offensive output, this game projects to comfortably clear 150.5 points if both offenses stay active.
This California Baptist vs. Eastern Washington over 150.5 is a +EV play because you're getting it at –110, while the fair value sits at –119, creating a positive 3.6% EV based on where the sharper books are pricing this total. Multiple sharp indicators have the over set between –135 and –136, showing that the broader market expects this game to play at a much higher scoring pace than the line you're offered. Both teams rank among the faster-tempo mid-majors, rely heavily on perimeter scoring, and have defensive profiles that allow efficient looks — all factors that naturally push games toward higher totals. When you combine the pace, scoring tendencies, and the clear gap between your price and the sharpest books, –110 becomes strong value on the over in this matchup.
Bet #4 Demin Over / Under 2.5 Rebounds
Books: Bet365 / FanDuel
Odds: -170 / +220
This is an arbitrage bet meaning you bet on both outcomes and no matter what happens in the game you win money.
Let's say you take Demin Over 2.5 Rebounds on Bet365 at -170 odds for $133.66. If this side hits you win $212.
Let's say you take Demin Under 2.5 Rebounds on FanDuel at +220 odds for $66.34. If this side hits you win $212.
Total amount invested: $200
Total amount returned: $212
No matter the result you make at least $12.
All of these picks were found via Pick The Odds. Pick The Odds is a comprehensive sports betting platform designed for bettors seeking to gain an edge through data-driven tools and real-time analytics. With tools such as the Odds Screen, Positive EV, Arbitrage, and more we have you covered for all yours sports betting needs.
