Free Sports Betting Bets! Best Odds, EV plays, Arbs, for Friday October 3rd.
Happy Friday! We have 5 college football games on tonight along with the WNBA Finals! Let's jump directly into the sports betting picks for today!
Bet 1: Jackie Young Over 22.5 Points + Assists
Book: Bet365
Odds: +100 (Can take up to -108)
Jackie Young’s Over 22.5 Points + Assists looks like a strong play heading into Game 1 of the WNBA Finals. She’s been a consistent offensive engine for Las Vegas all season, averaging 17 points and 5 assists while stepping up in big moments. Against a tough defensive opponent, Young’s versatility as both a shot creator and playmaker becomes even more valuable — especially with defenses likely keying in on A’ja Wilson. Her ability to attack off the dribble, get to the line, and create for teammates makes her a constant threat to fill the stat sheet. In past playoff matchups, Young has shown she can handle the spotlight, and with the Aces relying on her perimeter scoring and drive-and-kick game, she should see plenty of opportunities to rack up both points and assists. Given her recent form and expected usage, Over 22.5 feels like a number she can clear if the game stays competitive.
This Over 22.5 Points + Assists play on Jackie Young stands out also as a strong +EV betting opportunity. At +100 odds on Bet365, the line offers clear value compared to the fair market price of -108, giving bettors a 3.9% expected edge. That means you’re getting better odds than what sharper books and market consensus suggest — a key signal that this number is mispriced. When multiple sharp sportsbooks are shading the Over (with prices around -122 and -130), yet Bet365 is still hanging +100, it’s an opportunity to take advantage of a slow-moving line. Plays like this are where long-term profitability comes from — finding value before the market fully adjusts. Whether or not Young hits the Over tonight, the math supports taking this side every time a similar edge appears.
Bet 2: Colorado State +6.5
Book: Hard Rock
Odds: +100
Colorado State has been competitive against quality opponents all season, showing an ability to move the ball through the air and stay within striking distance late in games. Meanwhile, San Diego State’s offense has struggled with consistency, often relying on their defense to bail them out — a risky formula when laying nearly a touchdown. The +6.5 line also provides protection in what could be a lower-scoring, grind-it-out contest where possessions are limited. With recent trends pointing toward Colorado State covering in similar spots and San Diego State failing to separate offensively, grabbing the points with the Rams feels like the sharper side.
This is a strong value betting opportunity on Colorado State +6.5, backed by a +EV (positive expected value) edge of 3.7%. The market consensus—represented by sharp books like FanDuel, Pinnacle, and DraftKings—suggests a spread closer to +3, with those sportsbooks pricing Colorado State at -115 to -124 odds, indicating significant support on the Rams. However, Hard Rock is offering +6.5 at even money (+100), which gives bettors an inflated line with a better price, making it an inefficiency in the market. The fair value of this bet is estimated at -108, so grabbing +100 provides not just line value but also pricing value, combining to make this a high-EV wager. In a betting landscape where edges are slim, this play stands out as a statistically sound move.
Bet 3: Grayson Loftis Under 0.5 Passing Touchdowns
Book: Stake
Odds: +138 (Can take up to +113)
Loftis, a young and relatively inexperienced quarterback, has struggled to produce through the air this season, particularly in the red zone. Charlotte’s offensive game plan has leaned heavily on the run, especially in tough matchups where minimizing turnovers is a priority. BYU’s defense, while not elite, has been solid against the pass, particularly in the red zone, allowing just a handful of passing touchdowns over the last several games. Additionally, Charlotte has had issues protecting the quarterback, and with Loftis under pressure, the coaching staff is more likely to emphasize conservative play-calling. Unless the game script forces Charlotte into a pass-heavy approach late, it's entirely plausible that any scoring they do manage will come via the ground game or special teams—making the under on 0.5 passing touchdowns for Loftis a bet with strong situational and statistical backing.
This under 0.5 passing touchdowns prop for Grayson Loftis stands out as a high-value play due to both matchup context and market inefficiencies. Priced at +138, the number significantly exceeds the fair market value of +113, offering an 11.7% edge—something rare in player props. With sharp books like FanDuel and Bet365 hanging much lower odds on the same prop, this number offers clear line and price value, making it a sharp +EV investment for bettors looking to capitalize on mispriced props.
Bet #4 Charlotte Over / Under 9.5 Team Points
Books: DraftKings and Bet365
Odds: -250 and +340
This is an arbitrage bet meaning you bet on both outcomes and no matter what happens in the game you win money.
Let's say you take the Over 9.5 Team Points on DraftKings at -250 odds for $151.72 If this side hits you win $212.
Let's say you take the Under 9.5 Team Points on Bet365 at +340 odds for $48.28 If this side hits you win $212.
Total amount invested: $200
Total amount returned: $212
No matter the result you make at least $12.
All of these picks were found via Pick The Odds. Pick The Odds is a comprehensive sports betting platform designed for bettors seeking to gain an edge through data-driven tools and real-time analytics. With tools such as the Odds Screen, Positive EV, Arbitrage, and more we have you covered for all yours sports betting needs.
