Free Sports Betting Bets! Best Odds, EV plays, Arbs, for Friday October 10th.
Happy Friday! We have some huge games tonight, in the MLB we have game 5 for the ALDS Tigers vs Mariners. And in the WNBA we have game 4 of the WNBA Finals potentially the last game of the season. To cap off the night we have a slate full of NBA preseason action. Let's jump directly into the sports betting picks for today!
Bet 1: George Kirby Over 5.5 Strikeouts
Book: Bet365
Odds: +115 (Can take up to -100)
George Kirby looks like a live shot for the Over 5.5 Ks, especially given how he fanned 8 batters in 5 innings vs. Detroit in Game 1 of the ALDS — that’s a direct, fresh data point in this exact matchup. He’s shown flashes of elite swing-and-miss ability this season (including a 14-K outing vs. the Angels recently.) And Detroit’s lineup has been vulnerable to high-velocity mix with elevated breaking stuff. Combine that with the fact that he managed to surpass 5.5 Ks in a recent start against the same opponent, and the Over has a compelling floor.
Along with the recent performances this is also a strong +EV bet because Bet365 is offering George Kirby’s strikeout line at Over 5.5 (+115), while sharp books like Circa, FanDuel, and Pinnacle have the same line priced around -110 to -101, implying a fair value near -100. That pricing discrepancy creates a 7.7% edge, meaning the true probability of Kirby hitting 6+ strikeouts is higher than the odds suggest. Facing a Tigers lineup that ranks near the bottom in strikeout avoidance and struggles against right-handed pitching, Kirby’s efficiency and command give him solid potential to go deep into the game. When sportsbooks with sharper models set lower odds, it signals that Bet365’s line is mispriced — making this a value spot for bettors looking to capitalize on inefficiency.
Bet 2: Mitch Garver Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBI's
Book: Hard Rock
Odds: +120 (Can take up to +113)
Mitch Garver looks like a solid play to go Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs, especially considering his recent success against Detroit in the ALDS. In Game 1 of the series, Garver came through with an RBI single — easily clearing this line and proving he can deliver in clutch postseason spots. He’s been seeing the ball well lately, putting together quality at-bats and showing his usual pop from the middle of Seattle’s order. Garver’s track record against right-handed pitching, combined with Detroit’s tendency to struggle against power bats, makes him a strong candidate to record at least one stat in the box score again tonight. With the low threshold of just one hit, run, or RBI — and having already covered it a couple of days ago against the same opponent — the Over 0.5 looks like a sharp, value-backed play.
This play on Mitch Garver Over 0.5 Runs + Hits + RBIs at +120 on Hard Rock presents clear value because sharper books like DraftKings, BetOnline, and DraftKings have the same prop priced between -102 and -110, translating to a fair value of +113. That 3.1% edge suggests the true probability of Garver recording at least one key offensive stat is higher than the posted odds indicate. Garver has been swinging well lately and typically bats in a favorable spot in the Mariners’ order, giving him multiple opportunities to contribute across categories. When sharper markets show tighter, lower-priced lines, it’s a sign the Hard Rock number is slightly off — creating a small but meaningful positive expected value opportunity.
Bet 3: Orlando Magic -2.5 Spread
Book: DraftKings
Odds: -142 (Can take up to -157)
The Magic enter the game with momentum, having secured a 126–118 preseason victory over the Miami Heat on October 4, 2025 NBA . In contrast, the 76ers are dealing with significant roster challenges. Key players Joel Embiid and Paul George are expected to sit out due to injuries / it being preseason. Additionally, the 76ers have struggled recently, losing their last 2 games and not covering the spread. With the Magic's recent form and not resting starters and the 76ers' depleted lineup, Orlando has a strong chance to cover the -2.5 spread.
This wager on the Orlando Magic -2.5 at -142 holds positive expected value because sharper books like BetMGM, Pinnacle, and Hard Rock are pricing the same line between -145 and -154, giving a fair value around -157. That discrepancy signals that the market consensus expects Orlando to cover more often than the listed odds imply. With the Magic trending upward and likely facing a shorthanded or inconsistent 76ers squad, the edge leans toward Orlando maintaining control. When multiple sharp books are shaded further toward one side, it indicates the current price hasn’t fully adjusted — creating a 4.2% value edge for bettors taking the Magic at this number.
Bet 4: Seattle -1.5 / Detroit +1.5 Spread 2nd Inning
Books: DraftKings / Hard Rock
Odds: +1100 / -275
This is an arbitrage bet meaning you bet on both outcomes and no matter what happens in the game you win money.
Let's say you take Seattle -1.5 2nd Inning Spread on DraftKings at +1100 odds for $20.41 If this side hits you win $244.
Let's say you take Detroit +1.5 2nd Inning Spread on Hard Rock at -275 odds for $179.59 If this side hits you win $244.
Total amount invested: $200
Total amount returned: $244
No matter the result you make at least $44.
All of these picks were found via Pick The Odds. Pick The Odds is a comprehensive sports betting platform designed for bettors seeking to gain an edge through data-driven tools and real-time analytics. With tools such as the Odds Screen, Positive EV, Arbitrage, and more we have you covered for all yours sports betting needs.
