Happy Monday! Hopefully you all had a nice weekend! In our last blog the picks went 2/3! Unfortunately Buffalo and UMass couldn't get the offense going early enough so the first half total went under. But today we're looking to bounce back with the sweep! For today we have 7 NBA games, 5 NHL games, and 14 CBB games. Let's jump right into the sports betting picks for today.
Bet #1 Collin Sexton Over 10.5 Points
Book: Bet365
Odds: -105 (Can take up to -114)
Collin Sexton is a strong bet to go Over 10.5 points because he’s currently averaging about 14.8 points per game on the season, making this line well within his normal scoring output. Even with some recent variance in minutes, Sexton has routinely produced double‑figure scoring and shown he can be a consistent offensive option for Charlotte — and in fact in his most recent games he’s been hitting that mark in the majority of contests, covering this 10.5‑point line in 4 of his last 5 games. Over the full season, his efficiency is solid (shooting near 49% from the field and almost 38% from three), he plays a meaningful role in the Hornets’ offense, and his usage ensures plenty of scoring opportunities even with balanced scoring around him. These trends, combined with his scoring average comfortably above the 10.5 mark, give strong statistical support for expecting Sexton to go over this prop.
This Collin Sexton Over 10.5 points bet stands out as a clear +EV opportunity from a sharp betting perspective. The current line is set at -105, while sharps are backing this prop heavily at -125 to -130, signaling professional confidence that Sexton will exceed 10.5 points. The Pick The Odds EV Tool identifies a 4% edge, and the fair value for this prop is calculated at -114, meaning the current odds offer more value than the true probability suggests. Essentially, the market is underestimating Sexton’s likelihood to hit double figures, and with sharps moving this line and an identified positive expected value, this is a scenario where betting against the public and following professional money is statistically justified. It’s a textbook +EV situation for bettors looking to leverage data and market inefficiencies.
Bet #2 Utah Mammoth Over 2.5 Team Points
Book: NoVig
Odds: -106 (Can take up to -113)
Taking Utah Mammoth Over 2.5 team points vs the Tampa Bay Lightning is a value‑driven bet backed by recent scoring trends and historical output. Utah has shown it can put the puck in the net against Tampa — they put up 6 goals in a 6‑4 win the last time these teams met and also scored 2 goals in their most recent meeting vs the Lightning while generating consistent offensive chances versus a top‑tier opponent. Over the season Utah is averaging over 3 goals per game offensively and their top offensive talent is capable of multiple scoring contributions in any matchup, even against a strong defensive club. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay has been involved in higher‑scoring contests this season, suggesting defensive lapses that Utah can exploit to reach 3+ goals again. Combining Utah’s demonstrated ability to score multiple goals against Tampa with offensive form and matchup context gives solid statistical support for expecting the Mammoth to clear 2.5 team points in this game.
This Utah Mammoth over 2.5 bet stands out as a +EV opportunity because the market is pricing it at -106 while the calculated fair value sits at -113, implying the line is slightly soft relative to its true probability. Sharps are backing this heavily, with bets like -112, -130, and -130 from respected sources, signaling informed money driving the line. With a 3.3% edge, this is a classic example where the odds offered give you more value than the risk suggests—essentially, you’re getting slightly better than break-even pricing on a bet that sharps are consistently targeting, making it a compelling addition for a disciplined bettor.
Bet #3 Le Monye / FDU Under 142.5 Total Points
Book: BetRivers
Odds: -112 (Can take up to -118)
With both Le Moyne and Fairleigh Dickinson posting modest scoring profiles this season, the tempo and defense trends strongly support the Under. Le Moyne averages 74.0 PPG while FDU scores 68.9 PPG and neither defense is porous enough to suggest a shootout; Le Moyne allows 73.8 PPG and FDU 71.5 PPG, pointing to middle‑of‑the‑road scoring games rather than high totals. Their recent head‑to‑head history further reinforces this — their most recent matchup finished 78‑74 (152 total) and another earlier benefited from 2 OT to reach 177 total, meaning regulation scoring tends to stay well below the line. Add in typical NEC pace, which isn’t among the fastest in Division I, and you’ve got two teams that grind possessions and lean on half‑court sets, making it likely the game stays under 142.5 points in regulation time.
This Under 142.5 bet on Le Moyne vs. FDU is shaping up as a textbook +EV opportunity. The current market sits at -112, but sharps have been active on this play with consensus odds ranging from -135 to -140, signaling that sharp money sees real value here. Pick the Odds identifies a fair value of -118, meaning the public line is offering better payout than the underlying probability implies — in other words, you’re getting more than 2.5% edge by taking the Under at -112. With both teams trending in low-to-moderate scoring games, solid defenses, and a pace that favors fewer possessions, this line is set slightly higher than expected regulation scoring. In betting terms, the gap between sharps’ consensus and the posted line is exactly the kind of discrepancy that allows disciplined bettors to capture +EV profits over time.
Bet #4 Edwards Over 3.5 Assists / Under 3.5 Assists
Books: UniBet / BookMaker
Odds: +104 / +117
This is an arbitrage bet meaning you bet on both outcomes and no matter what happens in the game you win money.
Let's say you take Edwards Over 3.5 Assists on UniBet at +104 odds for $103. If this side hits you win $210.
Let's say you take Edwards Under 3.5 Assists on BookMaker at +117 odds for $97. If this side hits you win $210.
Total amount invested: $200
Total amount returned: $210
No matter the result you make at least $10.
All of these picks were found via Pick The Odds. Pick The Odds is a comprehensive sports betting platform designed for bettors seeking to gain an edge through data-driven tools and real-time analytics. With tools such as the Odds Screen, Positive EV, Arbitrage, and more we have you covered for all yours sports betting needs.
