Happy Tuesday! Yesterday's picks went 4/4! four different leagues, four different cashes that's aim of the game right there. Let's look to continue this hot streak as we have a couple leagues in action tonight. 7 NBA games, 8 NHL games, and 40+ CBB games. Let's jump right into the sports betting picks tonight and get the back to back sweep.
Bet #1 Bam Adebayo Over 9.5 Rebounds
Book: ProphetX
Odds: -109 (Can take up to -122)
Bam Adebayo’s rebounding profile makes taking OVER 9.5 rebounds an attractive prop: he’s sitting right around 9.7 rebounds per game on the year, firmly above this line in the aggregate and ranking top-10 in the NBA in boards per game. He’s shown the ability to clear this mark consistently — in fact, in Miami’s recent run he’s averaged north of 10 rebounds over his last 5 games, including multiple games with 12+ boards. Specifically, he’s cleared the 9.5 line in at least 3 of his last 5 games, with rebounds of 14, 12 and 12 in Heat matchups against OKC and Golden State — performances that highlight his crash-the-glass role for Miami. Adebayo plays heavy minutes, anchors the Heat’s interior presence, and consistently ranks among team leaders in rebounding opportunities, making the over on 9.5 a fact-supported play heading into his next outing.
This Bam Adebayo Over 9.5 rebounds prop qualifies as a strong +EV bet due to clear market discrepancies and sharp alignment. The current best price of -109 is well below the calculated fair value of -122, creating roughly a 5.5% expected value edge, which is meaningful in player props. Notably, multiple sharp books are already pricing this line significantly higher, with respected markets showing -130, -140, and even -165, indicating professional money pushing the over. When sharper books move a line while a softer book lags behind, it creates an exploitable window — exactly what’s happening here. With consensus pricing implying a much higher probability than the -109 suggests, this wager offers bettors positive long-term value by beating the true odds and capitalizing on inefficiencies across sportsbooks.
Bet #2 Owen Power Under 1.5 Shots On Goal
Book: NoVig
Odds: -135 (Can take up to -144)
Owen Power under 1.5 shots on goal is shaping up as a smart play based on his recent usage and scoring trends: he’s gone under this shots line in 3 of his last 5 games, showing a pattern of limited offensive volume even as he gets steady minutes. Power’s role on the backend for the Sabres has been more focused on transition defense and facilitating puck movement rather than aggressively shooting, which is reflected in his modest scoring — he’s recorded just 3 goals on the year, underscoring that he’s not a high-volume shooter from the blue line. Defensively-oriented minutes, conservative offensive deployment, and relatively few shot attempts overall support taking UNDER 1.5 shots on goal here, especially against structured opponents where his chances to fire the puck on net are likely to remain scarce.
Owen Power Under 1.5 shots on goal stands out as a +EV bet due to clear pricing inefficiencies across the market. The available line of -135 is notably better than the calculated fair value of -144, yielding roughly a 2.7% expected value edge, which is solid for NHL player props. This edge is reinforced by sharp market alignment, as respected books are already shading this under much heavier at -165, -168, and -175, signaling strong professional confidence in the outcome. When sharper sportsbooks price a prop significantly worse for the bettor while a softer book lags behind, it creates a window of value. With consensus odds implying a higher probability than what -135 reflects, this wager offers bettors a positive long-term edge by locking in favorable odds before the market fully corrects.
Bet #3 Jeremy Fears Jr Over 14.5 Points
Book: Bet365
Odds: +115 (Can take up to +108)
Jeremy Fears Jr. has emerged as a reliable scoring force for Michigan State, making over 14.5 points a compelling play right now. He’s covered that mark in his last five games, putting up 16, 15, 15, 23, and 19 points in his most recent outings — including a career‑high 23 points with 10 assists against Indiana and 19 points in an 80‑63 win at Washington — showing he’s consistently hitting that scoring number and then some. Over this stretch he’s not just reaching this total by luck — he’s averaging well above his season scoring average of ~13.1 PPG, boosted by efficient shooting inside the arc and aggressive playmaking, and has become a central piece of the Spartans’ offense as he finds his scoring rhythm.
This Jeremy Fears Jr. Over 14.5 points bet is showing up as an +EV (expected value) opportunity for a few key reasons. Sharps have been active on this line, with consensus pricing ranging from -103 to -110 at leading sportsbooks like BetMGM, PointsBet, and FanDuel, while Bet365 is offering +115 — a clear edge compared to the market. Pick the Odds calculates this as a +3.4% EV play, meaning the potential payout is higher than the implied risk given Fears’ recent scoring trends and market consensus. The “fair value” line is pegged at +108, so taking +115 gives bettors a slight pricing advantage. With sharps backing the play and Fears covering 14.5 points in his last five games, this combination of market activity, historical performance, and line discrepancy makes this a strong EV bet for today’s matchup.
Bet #4 Ighodaro Over 9.5 / Under 9.5 Points and Rebounds
Books: Bet365/ ProphetX
Odds: -112 / +138
This is an arbitrage bet meaning you bet on both outcomes and no matter what happens in the game you win money.
Let's say you take Ighodaro Over 9.5 Points and Rebounds on Bet365 at -112 odds for $111. If this side hits you win $210.
Let's say you take Ighodaro Under 9.5 Points and Rebounds on ProphetX at +138 odds for $989. If this side hits you win $210.
Total amount invested: $200
Total amount returned: $210
No matter the result you make at least $10.
All of these picks were found via Pick The Odds. Pick The Odds is a comprehensive sports betting platform designed for bettors seeking to gain an edge through data-driven tools and real-time analytics. With tools such as the Odds Screen, Positive EV, Arbitrage, and more we have you covered for all yours sports betting needs.
