Happy Wednesday! We're coming off a 2/3 day! Unfortunately Bam decided he didn't want to grab any rebounds he wanted to just score instead. For tonight we have 7 NBA games, 6 NHL games, and 50+ CBB games. Let's aim for the sweep today and go 3/3! Into the sports betting picks for tonight we go.
Bet #1 Brandon Ingram Over 3.5 Assists
Book: Bet365
Odds: -120 (Can take up to -132)
Brandon Ingram is a solid play to go over 3.5 assists because his playmaking role this season clearly supports it — he’s averaging 3.8 assists per game on the year, already above this line. Even more compelling, in his last 5 games he’s been distributing at an elevated clip, averaging around 5.0 assists, showing recent form that well exceeds this threshold. With defenses focusing on his scoring, Ingram has often kicked out to open teammates and facilitated more offense, and these recent trends — combined with his season-long assist average — make a strong factual case that he should cover the 3.5 assist line again.
Brandon Ingram Over 3.5 Assists is a strong +EV play at +4.2%, as we’re getting -120 odds on a line that prices out closer to -132 fair value, creating clear value. Sharp sportsbooks are signaling even heavier confidence, with respected markets pricing this prop at -151, -144, and -154, well above what’s currently available. That gap between sharp consensus and market price indicates mispriced odds in our favor, meaning we’re beating both the books and the sharpest lines. When you combine the positive expected value, sharp alignment, and discounted price, this bet checks all the boxes of a long-term profitable +EV wager.
Bet #2 Patrick Kane Under 2.5 Shots On Goal
Book: ProphetX
Odds: -123 (Can take up to -130)
Patrick Kane Under 2.5 Shots On Goal is shaping up as a statistically grounded and smart play. Kane has gone under this shots line in his last five straight games, showing a clear recent trend of lower shot volume as defenses have keyed in on limiting his attempts and his role has shifted slightly toward more playmaking and line distribution rather than pure shooting. Across those outings his SOG totals have consistently landed at 2 or fewer, indicating this isn’t a fluke but a sustained pattern. When you blend that recent trend with his season context — including matchups that suppress elite shooters and his usage on a deeper offensive roster — the under becomes a fact-based bet that aligns with both form and role.
Patrick Kane Under 2.5 Shots on Goal is a strong +EV opportunity at +2.6%, as we’re able to grab this line at -123 odds while the fair value sits closer to -130, indicating the market is offering a discount. Sharp sportsbooks are even more aggressive on this under, with respected books pricing it at -165, -152, and -135, showing clear alignment from sharp money. When multiple sharp lines are significantly worse than what’s currently available, it’s a strong signal the number is mispriced. Combining the positive expected value, sharp consensus, and favorable odds, this under presents a solid long-term +EV edge.
Bet #3 Western Carolina +11.5 Point Spread
Book: BetRivers
Odds: -125 (Can take up to -135)
Western Carolina +11.5 stands out as a smart bet because this Catamounts squad has shown the ability to stay competitive in games against Mercer-type opponents, keeping margins closer than the spread suggests. Over their last several outings, Western Carolina has consistently covered larger spreads even when struggling to win outright, showing resilience and defensive effort in crunch time that often limits scoring blowouts. Meanwhile, Mercer’s offense has been somewhat inconsistent, particularly against teams that extend pressure and force contested shots — something Western Carolina has shown they can do at home. With a double-digit spread, this gives Western Carolina plenty of cushion to stay within striking distance, and historical trends and matchup data both support the idea that Mercer may not pull away by more than 11.5 points.
Western Carolina +11.5 is a strong +EV play at +3.3%, as we’re able to get the Catamounts at -125 odds while the fair value is closer to -135, signaling clear market inefficiency. Sharp sportsbooks are backing this side as well, with respected books pricing Western Carolina +11.5 at -141, -142, and as high as -155, all significantly worse than what’s currently available. That sharp consensus suggests the true line should be shorter than +11.5, giving us extra cushion against the spread. When you combine the positive expected value, sharp alignment, and discounted odds, this becomes a textbook +EV spread bet.
Bet #4 Raynaud Over 6.5 / Under 6.5 Rebounds
Books: NoVig / BetRivers
Odds: +150 / -112
This is an arbitrage bet meaning you bet on both outcomes and no matter what happens in the game you win money.
Let's say you take Raynaud Over 6.5 Rebounds on NoVig at +150 odds for $87. If this side hits you win $215.
Let's say you take Raynaud Under 6.5 Rebounds on BetRivers at -112 odds for $113. If this side hits you win $215.
Total amount invested: $200
Total amount returned: $215
No matter the result you make at least $15.
All of these picks were found via Pick The Odds. Pick The Odds is a comprehensive sports betting platform designed for bettors seeking to gain an edge through data-driven tools and real-time analytics. With tools such as the Odds Screen, Positive EV, Arbitrage, and more we have you covered for all yours sports betting needs.
