Happy Monday! Hopefully everybody had a profitable Friday / weekend. Unfortunately our picks went 1/3. One rebound away for Cam Spencer and an injury to Reescano. Let's move past that and look ahead to today's slate. For today we have 8 NBA games, 5 NHL games, and 19 CBB games. Let jump right into the sports betting picks for tonight and aim for the sweep. 
Bet #1 Brandon Miller Over 7.5 RB + AST
Book: Hard Rock
Odds: -105 (Can take up to -123)
Brandon Miller has been a consistent contributor for Charlotte this season, averaging 7.6 combined rebounds + assists per game, already sitting above the 7.5 line. He’s cleared this mark in 3 of his last 5 games, including outings with 8 rebounds and 5 assists and 7 rebounds and 4 assists, showing he can impact the game on both ends. Playing heavy minutes and taking on a larger role in the offense, Miller’s involvement in rebounding and playmaking has steadily increased, making the OVER on 7.5 rebounds + assists a solid bet supported by both season-long averages and recent form.
Brandon Miller OVER 7.5 rebounds + assists (-105) represents a +EV opportunity, with sharps currently taking the over at odds ranging from -146 to -125, while the Fair Value is -123. This discrepancy shows the market undervalues Miller’s contribution, giving a 7.5% expected value edge to bettors who take the over. Considering he’s averaging 7.6 combined rebounds + assists on the season and has cleared this line in 3 of his last 5 games, this bet not only aligns with recent form but also benefits from a favorable odds overlay, making it a smart play for +EV-focused bettors.
Bet #2 John Carlson Under 0.5 Points
Book: NoVig
Odds: -114 (Can take up to -126)
John Carlson’s recent scoring trends make the UNDER 0.5 points a compelling bet, as he has recorded 0 points in each of his last 5 games, clearly trending away from goal scoring and instead contributing in other areas like defense and puck movement. Over the season, Carlson’s primary role has been as a playmaking defenseman and time‑eater on the backend rather than a goal scorer, which is reflected in his low shooting volume and minimal scoring output. Opposing teams have also increasingly key‑checked him in offensive situations, limiting his chances to be an offensive threat, and his power‑play opportunities have been inconsistent, further suppressing his goal totals. Given this combination of recent form, usage patterns, and role, taking Carlson UNDER 0.5 points aligns with both statistical context and game flow tendencies, supporting the expectation that he’ll again finish scoreless.
This bet on John Carlson to score under 0.5 points for the Washington Capitals is a +EV opportunity based on several factors. The current odds sit at -114, but sharps have consistently pushed the line to -150 across multiple sportsbooks, signaling confidence from professional bettors. The calculated fair value is -126, which means the current market is offering value compared to what sharps believe the true odds should be. With the implied edge, this translates to roughly a 4.8% expected value, making it a smart bet to exploit inefficiencies in the market where public perception may overestimate Carlson’s scoring likelihood in this matchup against Anaheim.
Bet #3 Texas Southern +5.5 Point Spread
Book: Caesars
Odds: -110 (Can take up to -121)
Taking Texas Southern +5.5 on the spread is a fact‑based play worth considering because even though the Tigers are 2‑10 this season, they’ve shown they can keep games reasonably close against certain competition and cover larger spreads more often than the final score suggests — their scoring (≈71.7 PPG) isn’t drastically out of line with average mid‑major offense, and when matched up with teams of similar profile their offensive output improves and defensive pressure tightens. Texas Southern’s scoring margin (‑13.3) reflects heavy mismatches against upper‑tier non‑conference foes, which inflates losses like 109‑74 or 89‑53, but against comparable SWAC opposition or evenly‑matched mid‑majors they’re far more competitive and capable of staying within a touchdown’s worth of points. Given the +5.5 line, that margin provides a realistic cushion to cash the ticket, especially if you anticipate a defensive adjustment, improved shooting from their key scorers like Troy Hupstead, and a closer contest than their recent blowout results imply. 
Texas Southern +5.5 at -110 grades out as a +EV bet (4.6%) because the price you’re getting is well behind where the market — especially the sharps — have it rated. Sharp books are dealing this same number in the -132 to -146 range, signaling stronger true demand on Texas Southern than the current price implies. Based on those sharper prices, the fair value is -121, meaning -110 offers clear closing-line value. You’re effectively getting extra points at a discount compared to the sharpest books, which creates the edge and makes this a mathematically profitable wager over the long run.
Bet #4 Watson Over 20.5 / Under 20.5 Points
Books: PointsBet / FanDuel
Odds: +210/ -118
This is an arbitrage bet meaning you bet on both outcomes and no matter what happens in the game you win money.
Let's say you take Watson Over 20.5 Points on PointsBet at +210 odds for $74.68. If this side hits you win $231.
Let's say you take Watson Under 20.5 Points on FanDuel at -118 odds for $125.32. If this side hits you win $231.
Total amount invested: $200
Total amount returned: $231
No matter the result you make at least $31.
All of these picks were found via Pick The Odds. Pick The Odds is a comprehensive sports betting platform designed for bettors seeking to gain an edge through data-driven tools and real-time analytics. With tools such as the Odds Screen, Positive EV, Arbitrage, and more we have you covered for all yours sports betting needs.
