Happy Tuesday! Yesterday's picks went 2/3! Unfortunately we were one Brandon Miller RB or AST away from the sweep. The Hornets surprisingly blew out the Thunder... who saw that coming?! Moving onto let's aim for that 3/3 sweep. For the slate today we have: 6 NBA games, 10 NHL games, and 29 CBB games. Let's jump directly into the sports betting picks for tonight!
Bet #1 Anthony Black Over 4.5 Rebounds
Book: Bet365
Odds: +122 (Can take up to +111)
When weighing Anthony Black Over 4.5 Rebounds, the numbers and context support the play. Over his last 5 games, Black has cleared this line in 3 of them, including games with 6 rebounds vs Denver, 7 vs Portland, and 6 vs Golden State, showing a clear recent inclination to crash the boards even as a guard. With Franz Wagner (ankle) sidelined and Jalen Suggs now out indefinitely, Orlando’s rebounding responsibilities from the wing and perimeter are more open — two areas where Wagner and Suggs normally help secure defensive rebounds and initiate transition. Black’s role has expanded with increased minutes and touches, highlighted by averages near 5 rebounds over extended stretches and strong rebounding lines in multiple starts, which further boosts his chances of clearing 4.5 in a game with extra opportunities.
Anthony Black Over 4.5 Rebounds grades out as a clear +EV play based on both market comparison and sharp influence. The current price of +122 on Bet365 is well above the Fair Value of +111, creating roughly a 5.4% expected value edge. Sharp sportsbooks are notably tighter on this line, with FanDuel and Caesars dealing -106 and another sharp book posting +104, signaling that the true price is closer to even money than the +122 being offered. That gap between the sharp consensus and Bet365’s number is exactly where the value lies — you’re getting a significantly better payout than the market deems fair, making this a strong +EV spot to target.
Bet #2 Jeremy Lauzon Over 1.5 Blocked Shots
Book: ProphetX
Odds: +106 (Can take up to -110)
When backing Jeremy Lauzon Over 1.5 Blocked Shots, the recent numbers make a compelling case. Over his last 5 games, Lauzon has racked up 11 total blocks, averaging 2.2 blocks per game, which shows he’s been outperforming the 1.5 line consistently and getting into good rim protection and contest spots. His role on the backend of the defense has stayed steady, meaning his minutes and proximity to shots in the paint give him repeated opportunities to impact the glass and swat attempts. On a team that often funnels drives toward his side and allows him to use his length, that recent block production isn’t a fluke — it’s backed by clear defensive involvement and a pace of play that keeps him around the basket enough to see this line as very attainable.
Jeremy Lauzon Over 1.5 Blocked Shots stands out as a strong +EV opportunity when you compare market pricing across books. The best available price of +106 is well above the Fair Value of -110, creating an estimated 7.9% expected value edge. Sharp sportsbooks are notably shaded to the over, with prices of -130, -125, and -125 across respected sharp books, signaling that the true probability of this line hitting is much higher than what +106 implies. When the sharp market is clustered around heavy juice on the over while a softer book is still offering plus money, it creates a clear pricing inefficiency — exactly the type of edge bettors look to exploit in +EV betting.
Bet #3 San Diego State / Nevada Under 66.5 Total Points 1st Half
Book: Hard Rock
Odds: +100 (Can take up to -105)
When backing the San Diego State / Nevada Under 66.5 Total Points 1st Half, the game context and historical tendencies strongly support a slower, low-scoring start. Both San Diego State and Nevada are defensive staples, consistently holding opponents under league-average scoring, especially early — SDSU ranks near the top nationally in scoring defense, and Nevada has shown a pronounced tendency to start games methodically on offense. Recent head-to-head and tempo data also lean toward conservative first-half scoring, with both teams posting first-half outputs below 35 points in multiple meetings last season. Add in that both squads emphasize half-court sets to begin games — SDSU’s grind-it-out style and Nevada’s structured offense — and you get a recipe for a sub-67 first half, making this under an analytically sound play.
The San Diego State / Nevada Under 66.5 First-Half Total qualifies as a +EV wager due to a clear pricing gap between books. The best available number is +100, while the Fair Value sits at -105, creating roughly a 2.4% expected value edge. Sharp sportsbooks are already leaning under, with respected books posting -115, -115, and -113, indicating the market consensus prices this total closer to the low-60s rather than a true coin flip. When sharp money consistently prices the under at a premium and a softer book is still offering even money, it signals a mispriced line — making Under 66.5 a solid +EV position to take.
Bet #4 McDavid Over 2.5 / Under 2.5 Points
Books: DraftKings / WynnBet
Odds: +750 / -503
This is an arbitrage bet meaning you bet on both outcomes and no matter what happens in the game you win money.
Let's say you take McDavid Over 2.5 Assists on DraftKings at +750 odds for $24.72. If this side hits you win $210.
Let's say you take McDavid Under 2.5 Assists on WynnBet at -503 odds for $175.28. If this side hits you win $210.
Total amount invested: $200
Total amount returned: $210
No matter the result you make at least $10.
All of these picks were found via Pick The Odds. Pick The Odds is a comprehensive sports betting platform designed for bettors seeking to gain an edge through data-driven tools and real-time analytics. With tools such as the Odds Screen, Positive EV, Arbitrage, and more we have you covered for all yours sports betting needs.
