Happy Tuesday! We have game 2 of the NLCS between the Dodgers and Brewers, a full NHL slate, Tuesday night college football, and some NBA Preseason games to end off the night. Without wasting anymore time let's jump into the sports betting picks for today!
Bet 1: Brice Turang Over 0.5 Hits
Book: Bet365
Odds: -135 (Can take up to -147)
Brice Turang’s Over 0.5 Hits line looks appealing given his recent consistency at the plate and favorable matchup. He’s recorded a hit in four of his last five games, showing improved contact and plate discipline. Turang also performs better against right-handed pitching, which he’s expected to face here tonight against Yamamoto, posting a higher batting average and on-base rate in those splits. With his speed and ability to turn singles into scoring opportunities, Turang has multiple paths to cash this Over — making it a solid value play at just half a hit.
This bet on Brice Turang to record Over 0.5 hits at -135 offers +EV value because the odds are priced more favorably than the market consensus. Sharper books like PointsBet, SportsTrade, and DraftKings have this same line around -174 to -181, implying a higher true probability of Turang getting a hit. The fair value is calculated at -147, meaning Bet365 is underpricing the risk — giving bettors roughly a 3.6% edge. Considering Turang’s consistent contact rate and his role near the top of Milwaukee’s lineup, this price presents solid value compared to sharper market indicators.
Bet 2: Lane Hutson Over 0.5 Points
Book: Hard Rock
Odds: -130 (Can take up to -136)
Taking the Over on Lane Hutson 0.5 Points is a strong look given his offensive role and proven production early in the season. The rookie defenseman has already covered this line in a game this year, showcasing his ability to generate offense from the blue line. Hutson is seeing significant minutes on the power play, where his puck movement and vision create consistent scoring chances. Known for his offensive instincts and shot volume, he’s averaging multiple attempts per game and is heavily involved in transition play. With his ice time and offensive usage increasing, Hutson’s chances of recording at least one point remain high.
This play on Lane Hutson to record Over 0.5 points at -130 carries positive expected value because the market consensus prices this prop higher, around -148 to -165 across sharp sportsbooks. That gap indicates the true probability of Hutson getting on the scoresheet is greater than what Hard Rock’s line implies. With a fair value of -136, bettors are getting a small but real edge (1.9%). Given Hutson’s offensive skillset, power-play involvement, and the matchup against a Kraken defense that’s struggled to limit puck movement, this number offers more value than the market suggests.
Bet 3: Arkansas State 1st Quarter Moneyline
Book: BookMaker
Odds: +158 (Can take up to +152)
Arkansas State is a compelling play on the 1st Quarter Moneyline because they average 4.8 points in the first quarter—one of the stronger marks nationally for that split. On defense, opponents only marginally outscore them in Q1 (roughly 90 points conceded across games) per advanced splits. Additionally, in their recent game vs. Texas State, Arkansas State opened the scoring with a touchdown in Q1, showing their ability to strike early. Factoring in a solid early-quarter offense and a defense that isn’t routinely hemmed in, the 1st Quarter ML has value.
This Arkansas State 1Q Moneyline at +158 shows +EV because it’s priced above the market consensus, where sharp books list the same line closer to +132 to +145. That discrepancy suggests BetMGM’s number is inflated, offering bettors a better return than the true implied odds (fair value +152). Arkansas State has shown a tendency to start fast this season, often generating early offensive momentum before adjustments are made, which strengthens the edge on a first-quarter play. The combination of mispriced odds and favorable early-game performance metrics creates solid short-term value here.
Bet 4: Thunder / Bucks Under 233.5 Total Points
Book: BetWay
Odds: -105 (Can take up to -113)
Both teams have shown pacing and rotation-heavy lineups in recent preseason games, suppressing scoring tempo. The Thunder are averaging just ~110 points in their 4 games so far while deploying deep rotations and limiting minutes for starters. Meanwhile, Milwaukee has emphasized defensive intensity as they audition bench players, and their recent games have featured controlled scoring as they mix in end‐of‐bench lineups. Also, injury/management load will likely limit full-pace game flow, making it tougher for both benches to push the total above 233.5.
The Under 233.5 total points at -105 offers +EV value because Betway’s price is more favorable than the market average, where sharp books have this line around -129 to -130. That pricing difference indicates Betway’s line underrates the likelihood of a lower-scoring outcome, with the fair value sitting near -113. Both the Thunder and Bucks tend to slow the pace when testing rotations in preseason play, and Milwaukee’s defensive length often limits transition scoring. The combination of slower tempo expectations and mispriced odds gives bettors a clear edge on the under.
Bet 5: Liberty Over / Under Team W Both Halves
Books: Bet365 / DraftKings
Odds: +200 / -140
This is an arbitrage bet meaning you bet on both outcomes and no matter what happens in the game you win money.
Let's say you take Liberty Over 0.5 Team W Both Halves on Bet365 at +200 odds for $72.73 If this side hits you win $218.
Let's say you take Liberty Under 0.5 Team W Both Halves on Bet365 at +200 odds for $72.73 If this side hits you win $218.
Total amount invested: $200
Total amount returned: $218
No matter the result you make at least $18.
All of these picks were found via Pick The Odds. Pick The Odds is a comprehensive sports betting platform designed for bettors seeking to gain an edge through data-driven tools and real-time analytics. With tools such as the Odds Screen, Positive EV, Arbitrage, and more we have you covered for all yours sports betting needs.
