Happy Wednesday! We have game 3 of the ALCS between the Blue Jays and Mariners, a full NHL slate, couple Wednesday night college football, and some NBA Preseason games to end off the night. Let's jump directly into the sports betting picks today!
Bet 1: Blue Jays Over 3.5 Team Points
Book: Prime
Odds: +118 (Can take up to +113)
Blue Jays’ bats are red-hot — Toronto has piled up 53 runs across the last seven games (an average north of 7 R/G) and a .920 OPS in that span, so taking the Blue Jays team total over 3.5 is supported by their recent run production; they’ve covered this line in 5 of the last 7 games, showing the lineup’s ability to string hits and drive in runs consistently. Statistically you can see the surge in both team batting average and extra-base production over those games (high AVG/OBP/SLG and multiple multi-run outings), which makes the 3.5 team line vulnerable.
This Toronto Blue Jays Over 3.5 Team Points (+118) play shows a +2.2% expected value (+EV) because the current market price offers better odds than the consensus fair value of +113. That means the line available gives bettors a slight edge compared to what the true probability suggests. With Toronto’s offense covering this total in 5 of their last 7 games and averaging over 7 runs per game in that span, the implied value strengthens even more. When sportsbooks like Circa and FanDuel have sharper prices around +100 to -102, getting +118 presents clear positive EV and a favorable return on a hot Blue Jays lineup.
Bet 2: Brayden Schenn Over 0.5 Points
Book: BetWay
Odds: +110 (Can take up to +105)
Taking the Over 0.5 Assists for Brayden Schenn is backed by both recent performance and matchup data. Schenn is coming off a strong outing where he tallied 2 points last game, showing his playmaking form is heating up. He’s logging top-six minutes and consistent power-play time, giving him plenty of opportunities to generate assists. His opponent, the Chicago Blackhawks, have struggled defensively, surrendering 17 points over their last 3 games, making this a favorable spot for Schenn to continue producing. With his ice time, offensive role, and the opponent’s defensive issues, the over 0.5 assists line holds strong value.
Bet 3: Delaware Under 6.5 Total Points 1st Quarter
Book: Fanatics
Odds: +135 (Can take up to +122)
Taking the Under 6.5 points in the 1st quarter for Delaware is compelling — Delaware averages just 6.0 points in Q1 per game, placing them near the bottom in that split. Their opponent also is allowed to rack up big totals early — Delaware’s passing defense has already surrendered 307 yards in Q1 over 5 games, suggesting they struggle from the opening whistle. Delaware’s own offensive starts have often been sluggish, and with their defense vulnerable early but giving up yardage without yet giving up massive scoring in Q1, restricting points to under 6.5 is a reasonable bet.
This Delaware Blue Hens 1st Quarter Under 6.5 Points (+135) play is a clear +EV bet because it offers a 6.0% expected value edge, with a fair value line of +122 across sharper books. That means the available +135 price provides better odds than what the true probability suggests. Delaware has struggled to start games fast, averaging just around 6.0 points in the first quarter this season, while Jacksonville State’s defense has been strong early, holding opponents under a touchdown in the opening frame in most games. With market consensus tighter near +115, this inflated price gives bettors both statistical backing and strong closing-line value on the under.
Bet 4: Toronto Raptors Moneyline
Book: Polymarket
Odds: +178 (Can take up to +175)
The Toronto Raptors are a solid moneyline pick tonight against the Celtics based on their overall preseason form and Boston’s current vulnerabilities. Toronto has shown strong offensive balance and depth throughout the preseason, with multiple players stepping up to create scoring opportunities, while the Celtics have struggled to maintain consistency and control, particularly without key contributors like Jayson Tatum. Combined with Toronto’s disciplined defense and ability to exploit mismatches, this matchup sets up as favorable for the Raptors to take the win.
The Toronto Raptors are a solid moneyline pick tonight against the Celtics based on their overall preseason form and Boston’s current vulnerabilities. Toronto has shown strong offensive balance and depth throughout the preseason, with multiple players stepping up to create scoring opportunities, while the Celtics have struggled to maintain consistency and control, particularly without key contributors like Jayson Tatum. Combined with Toronto’s disciplined defense and ability to exploit mismatches, this matchup sets up as favorable for the Raptors to take the win.
Bet 5: Sean Wilson Over / Under 42.5 Receiving Yards
Books: Bet365 / ProphetX
Odds: -115 / +143
This is an arbitrage bet meaning you bet on both outcomes and no matter what happens in the game you win money.
Let's say you take Sean Wilson Over 42.5 Receiving Yards on Bet365 at -115 odds for $113.03 If this side hits you win $211.
Let's say you take Sean Wilson Under 42.5 Receiving Yards on ProphetX at +143 odds for $86.97 If this side hits you win $211.
Total amount invested: $200
Total amount returned: $218
No matter the result you make at least $18.
All of these picks were found via Pick The Odds. Pick The Odds is a comprehensive sports betting platform designed for bettors seeking to gain an edge through data-driven tools and real-time analytics. With tools such as the Odds Screen, Positive EV, Arbitrage, and more we have you covered for all yours sports betting needs.
