Happy Thursday! Yesterday's picks went 4/4 a 100% sweep! That's what we like to see, some variance perfectly on our side. Let's keep this streak today and we have a nice slate of games to do so with. TNF Rams vs Seahawks, 12 NBA games, 10 NHL games, and 30 CBB games throughout the day. Let's jump right into the sports betting and get another sweep.
Bet #1 Jason Myers Over 1.5 Field Goals Made
Book: Fanatics
Odds: -115 (Can take up to -129)
Jason Myers over 1.5 field goals is a strong play based on both recent form and season-long production. He has covered this line in five straight games, knocking through 4, 3, 4, 3, and 6 field goals, showing elite consistency and upside well beyond what’s required. Myers currently ranks 1st in the NFL with 153 total points, highlighting how heavily Seattle relies on his leg to generate offense. He’s converting at a high rate, has proven range beyond 50 yards, and continues to get steady opportunities as the Seahawks regularly stall drives in scoring territory. With his accuracy, volume, and recent dominance, Myers needs minimal opportunity to clear this number, making over 1.5 field goals a highly reliable prop.
Jason Myers over 1.5 field goals is a clear +EV play based on market alignment and pricing inefficiencies. The best available line sits at -115, while multiple sharp sportsbooks are pricing this same prop significantly higher at -145, -143, and -165, signaling strong respected-money support on the over. With a Fair Value of -129, the current -115 number is notably mispriced, creating a +5.4% expected value edge. When the sharp side of the market is laying much steeper juice and you’re able to grab a discounted price below fair value, it indicates long-term profitability — making this a strong +EV betting opportunity.
Bet #2 Kyle Kuzma 7.5 Rebounds + Assists
Book: Hard Rock
Odds: +100 (Can take up to -108)
Kyle Kuzma under 7.5 rebounds + assists is shaping up as the smarter play based on usage patterns and role trends. He’s gone under this line in 4 of his last 5 games, consistently failing to reach 7.5 combined rebounds and assists as his role has tilted more toward scoring and less toward facilitating or rebounding. On the season he’s averaging just 4.6 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game, which combines to only 6.8 rebounds + assists — below the 7.5 mark — and that doesn’t factor in matchup variables and team pace that often suppress his counting stats further. Given his usage profile, rebounding slot on the Lakers’ depth chart, and assist rate, Kuzma simply hasn’t shown the volume to make 7.5 a sustainable total, making the under the more predictable and statistically supported side.
This REB + AST under 7.5 for Kyle Kuzma is showing clear +EV potential. Sharps are aggressively backing the under at multiple books, with -124 at two of the top sharp sportsbooks and -120 at a third, signaling strong professional conviction. The current offer of +100 on this prop represents value compared to the fair value of -108, translating to an estimated +4% expected value. Considering Kuzma’s recent usage, matchup against the Raptors’ defensive schemes, and consistent performance trends, the market has likely overestimated his rebound and assist contributions, making this under bet a smart play with the sharps leading the way
Bet #3 Zack Bolduc Over 1.5 Shots On Goal
Book: ProphetX
Odds: -114 (Can take up to-125)
Zack Bolduc Over 1.5 Shots On Goal is shaping up as a strong +EV play based on recent usage and shot volume. He’s gone over this line in 4 of his last 5 games, totaling 12 shots in those four outings — that’s averaging 3 SOG per game when he’s been consistently involved offensively. Bolduc has been skating more minutes on the wing, generating higher danger chances and seeing more ice time on the power play, which boosts his opportunity to shoot. His shot attempts have trended up as he’s found a rhythm with linemates who are creating space and cycling possession, making 1.5 shots a conservative line given his current role. All signs point to him maintaining this level of activity and pushing past this shots threshold again.
Zack Bolduc Over 1.5 Shots On Goal presents a clear +EV opportunity. Sharps are heavily backing the over, with top sportsbooks showing -155, -148, and -129, indicating strong professional confidence. The current market line of -114 is generous compared to the calculated fair value of -125, giving an estimated +4.1% expected value. Bolduc has consistently hit this shots threshold in 4 of his last 5 games, totaling 12 shots in those contests, and has seen increased ice time and offensive involvement recently. Given his upward trend in shot attempts, power play usage, and overall offensive role, the over 1.5 shots line is well-supported by both the data and sharp money.
Bet #4 Georgia / Western Carolina Under 173.5 Total Points
Book: UniBet
Odds: -167 (Can take up to -183)
Georgia vs Western Carolina Under 173.5 total points makes sense because despite Georgia’s elite offense and up‑tempo style, Western Carolina simply can’t match scoring efficiency or sustain a shootout. Georgia leads the nation in scoring at ~98.3 points per game and plays at one of the fastest paces in college basketball, but the Catamounts average a modest ~76.8 points per game and have been thoroughly outclassed by better competition (e.g., 96‑74 loss to Virginia Tech) while struggling with shooting efficiency and turnovers. Georgia also boasts one of the top defenses in the country, particularly in blocks and transition disruption, and Western Carolina ranks poorly in turnover margin and 3‑point accuracy, meaning they will struggle to keep possessions alive and convert efficiently against UGA’s pressure. Additionally, Western Carolina is 0‑6 on the road and likely to slow possessions when trailing, which compresses scoring late as Georgia protects a lead — a recipe that often keeps totals under lines even with high‑tempo offenses.
The Georgia vs Western Carolina Under 173.5 total points is a +EV bet because the line is set at -167, while sharps are aggressively backing the under with -215, -240, and -225 at other top books, signaling strong professional consensus that the total is too high. Pick The Odds’ model shows a Fair Value of -183, meaning the current -167 price is significantly overpriced relative to the true probability of the under hitting. This discrepancy translates to a positive expected value of 3.3%, giving bettors an edge when aligning with sharp money. With Georgia’s disciplined defense and Western Carolina’s inefficiency, this line is likely to be exceeded less frequently than the market anticipates, reinforcing the +EV nature of the play.
Bet #5 Clingan Over 10.5 / Under 10.5 Rebounds
Books: ProphetX / Hard Rock
Odds: +123 / +115
This is an arbitrage bet meaning you bet on both outcomes and no matter what happens in the game you win money.
Let's say you take Clingan Over 10.5 Rebounds on ProphetX at +123 odds for $98.17. If this side hits you win $218.
Let's say you take Clingan Under 10.5 Rebounds on Hard Rock at +115 odds for $101.83. If this side hits you win $218.
Total amount invested: $200
Total amount returned: $218
No matter the result you make at least $18.
All of these picks were found via Pick The Odds. Pick The Odds is a comprehensive sports betting platform designed for bettors seeking to gain an edge through data-driven tools and real-time analytics. With tools such as the Odds Screen, Positive EV, Arbitrage, and more we have you covered for all yours sports betting needs.
