Happy Wednesday! Yesterday's picks hit at a 75% rate. Sadly Duke lost the 1st half to Lipscomb shockingly allowing them to score 48 points. 75% isn't bad but of course we're aiming for that 100% sweep. For today we have a pair of NBA games, 5 NHL games, 2 CFB bowl games, and 56 CBB games throughout the day. Let's jump right into the sports betting picks for today.
Bet #1 Kevin Huerter Over 9.5 Points
Book: Hard Rock
Odds: +105 (Can take up to -101)
Kevin Huerter is a strong play over 9.5 points because he’s averaging a solid 12.2 points per game this season, comfortably above the 9.5 mark and showing he’s a consistent scoring option in the Bulls’ rotation. Looking at his recent form, in his last three of four games he’s scored 11, 15, and 16 points, with his most recent outing seeing him pour in 16 points on 50% shooting including four 3-pointers against the Pelicans — clearly covering this line regularly. Even accounting for a sub-10 outing in that span, Huerter’s usage and scoring role remain elevated, and he’s shown he can heat up quickly from deep, making the over 9.5 a reasonable expectation based on both season averages and recent production.
Kevin Huerter Over 9.5 points at +105 qualifies as a +EV play because the market consensus is clearly shaded to the over while this book is offering plus money. Sharps have already hit this line at -110 and -130 at other books, signaling respected money expects Huerter to clear 10+ points. With a Fair Value of -101, getting +105 creates a meaningful edge, translating to roughly +3.0% EV on the wager. In short, you’re beating both the sharp side of the market and the true price, making this a mathematically favorable bet rather than just a narrative-based play.
Bet #2 Barrett Hayton Over 1.5 Shots On Goal
Book: ProphetX
Odds: +111 (Can take up to +100)
Barrett Hayton Over 1.5 shots on goal is a strong bet because he’s been consistently active offensively — in 4 of his last 5 games he’s registered 2+ SOG, showing a clear emerging pattern of generating scoring chances rather than sitting at one or zero. Over that span he’s also seen increased average ice time and even strength opportunities, which naturally boosts his shot volume per game. Hayton’s usage on the top two lines and on the power play has translated to a higher shooting frequency, making 1.5+ SOG a reasonable expectation based on recent trends rather than a fluky outlier, and that consistency gives confidence this line can be cleared again.
Barrett Hayton Over 1.5 shots on goal at +111 stands out as a +EV opportunity because the broader market is clearly priced tighter on this prop. Sharps are backing the over at -115 at multiple other books, indicating respected money believes this line should be juiced toward the over. With a listed Fair Value of +100, getting +111 creates a strong edge, resulting in approximately +5.5% expected value. You’re essentially being paid plus money on a line the sharp market considers closer to a coin flip or better, making this a numbers-driven bet where the price is simply too good to pass up.
Bet #3 Delaware Moneyline
Book: Bovada
Odds: +130 (Can take up to +119)
Taking Delaware’s moneyline today against Louisiana is a sharp, analytics-backed play because this matchup is far closer than the public perception reflected in the odds. Both teams enter at 6-6, and while Louisiana is favoured by around a field goal, predictive models show the Blue Hens with nearly as strong a chance to win outright — one respected simulation actually projects a 31-30 Delaware victory and gives them roughly a 49% win probability versus Louisiana’s 51%. Delaware’s offense is explosive, averaging near 30 points per game with a top-flight passing attack led by Nick Minicucci, who ranks among the national leaders in passing yards, and they dominated their regular-season finale with a 61-31 rout of UTEP, proving they can put up points on any defense. Meanwhile, Louisiana’s recent surge and comfortable home performance masks defensive vulnerabilities that Delaware’s aerial attack can exploit, making taking the underdog ML — especially at genuine plus money — a logical bet with real value.
This Delaware moneyline at +130 is a clear +EV play given the consensus from sharps and line comparison across books. Circa has it at +115, DraftKings +110, and BetMGM +108, all implying a lower probability of Delaware winning than the market line suggests. Pick the Odds calculates the Fair Value at +119, meaning the market is offering slightly better odds than what the implied probability warrants. With the current line at +130, this represents a +5.1% edge, showing that a $100 wager would, on average, net $5.10 more than the risk-adjusted expectation. Sharps support the side, and the odds across other books indicate that this is one of the more favorable spots to capitalize on inefficiency.
Bet #4 Wake Forest / Longwood Under 161.5 Total Points
Book: Bet365
Odds: +125 (Can take up to +116)
This Wake Forest vs Longwood Under 161.5 bet is a clear +EV opportunity. The line at Bet365 sits at +125, while sharps are active at +100 (Sharp side), +101, and -105 at other books, suggesting professional bettors see value here. The Fair Value is calculated around +116, meaning Bet365 is offering ~9 points of edge above what sharps indicate. This translates to an EV% of roughly 4.3%, indicating that over time, a wager here is expected to generate positive expected return. Given the pace, defensive trends, and historical underperformance in scoring for similar matchups, this line is ripe for exploitation.
Bet #5 Bol Bowen Over 5.5 / Under 5.5 Rebounds
Books: Hard Rock / ProphetX
Odds: +105 / +152
This is an arbitrage bet meaning you bet on both outcomes and no matter what happens in the game you win money.
Let's say you take Bol Bowen Over 5.5 Rebounds on Hard Rock at +105 odds for $110.28. If this side hits you win $226.
Let's say you take Bol Bowen Under 5.5 Rebounds on ProphetX at +152 odds for $110.28. If this side hits you win $226.
Total amount invested: $200
Total amount returned: $226
No matter the result you make at least $26.
All of these picks were found via Pick The Odds. Pick The Odds is a comprehensive sports betting platform designed for bettors seeking to gain an edge through data-driven tools and real-time analytics. With tools such as the Odds Screen, Positive EV, Arbitrage, and more we have you covered for all yours sports betting needs.
