Happy Tuesday! We have a staggering 80+ CBB games tonight. Along with them we also have 9 NHL games, 6 NBA games, and a pair of CFB Macation games to end the night. Without wasting anymore time let's jump directly into the sports betting picks for tonight!
Bet 1: Penn Quakers Over 77.5 Points
Book: Hard Rock
Odds: +110 (Can take up to +103)
Despite their 1-1 start, the Penn Quakers have already shown strong upside for the “over” on a 77.5 total points line — in Game 1 they exploded for 119 points, and in Game 2 they put up 78, clearing the mark both times. According to official stats, they’re averaging 98.5 points per game so far this season. On the flip side, while their defense has room for improvement, the advanced numbers show they are giving up a high-pace, high-scoring style (their pace, offensive rating, and defensive rating metrics all suggest games tend to run hot).When a team consistently goes above that 77.5 mark and plays in a tempo that encourages scoring from both sides, the case for the “over” tonight looks highly compelling.
This Penn Quakers Over 77.5 at +110 is a clear +EV opportunity based on market discrepancies. The fair value line is +103, meaning the true implied odds suggest this bet should be priced shorter than what Hard Rock is offering. With sharps like PointsBet (-100), Pinnacle (-116), and DraftKings (-115) all pricing the same play lower, it indicates respected money is backing a higher expectation for Penn’s scoring output. That creates a 3.3% edge for bettors taking the +110 number — an efficiency gap worth exploiting. Anytime sharp books are aligned on a tighter price while a retail book lags behind, the value lies in the inefficiency, and this Penn team’s recent scoring consistency (clearing this number in both games) only reinforces the positive expected value.
Bet 2: Morgan Geekie Over 2.5 Shots On Goal
Book: UniBet
Odds: +110 (Can take up to +105)
Morgan Geekie’s recent shooting surge makes the Over 2.5 Shots on Goal prop a strong play. He’s recorded 11 shots across his last 3 games (3.7 per game), showing an aggressive offensive mindset and increased confidence with the puck. On the season, he’s averaging around 2.3 shots per game, but that number is trending upward as his ice time and offensive zone starts have climbed in recent outings. Geekie has also seen more involvement on the power play and in scoring opportunities, with multiple games logging 3+ SOG recently. Given this volume trend, his elevated role, and the consistent shot output, the data points toward sustainable activity that makes clearing 2.5 shots not just likely — but statistically favorable.
This Morgan Geekie Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (+110) line at Unibet presents a textbook +EV betting opportunity driven by mispriced odds. The fair value sits at +105, creating a 2.4% edge over the market. Sharp books like PointsBet (-120), Bet365 (-110), and FanDuel (-106) all have this same prop priced shorter, signaling that respected money and sharper models project a higher probability of Geekie surpassing 2.5 shots. When multiple sharp operators converge on tighter odds while a retail book offers a softer +110, that discrepancy is what creates the positive expected value. Backing this number means capitalizing on both market inefficiency and Geekie’s recent shot volume — 11 shots in his last 3 games — which aligns perfectly with the value edge indicated by the sharper markets.
Bet 3: Noah Clowney Under 4.5 Rebounds
Book: MGM
Odds: +110 (Can take up to -105)
This Noah Clowney Under 4.5 Rebounds (+110) play offers a strong 7.4% expected value (EV) edge, making it one of the sharper spots on the board. The fair value sits at -105, while sharp books like PointsBet (-120), Bet365 (-121), and FanDuel (-136) are all pricing the same prop significantly lower. That discrepancy indicates that respected markets project a much higher probability of Clowney staying under this number than Unibet’s inflated +110 line suggests. With the Nets averaging just 38 rebounds per game — among the lowest in the league — and Clowney going under this total in three straight games, the data supports the under while the market inefficiency amplifies the betting value. When sharp books align and a retail line drifts higher, it’s a textbook +EV opportunity.
Bet 4: Kent State Over 20.5 Team Points
Book: Bet365
Odds: +110 (Can take up to +101)
Backing Kent State Over 20.5 team points offers solid betting value in this matchup. Despite averaging just 17.6 PPG this season, the Golden Flashes have cleared this number in four games, proving they can produce when facing weaker defenses. Now they go up against an Akron defense allowing 27.1 PPG and ranking near the bottom of the MAC in yards allowed per play. The Zips also struggle in red zone defense—giving up scores on over 86% of opponent trips—which sets up Kent State for more efficient drives. With improved QB play over the past few weeks and Akron’s inability to generate consistent pressure, Kent State has every opportunity to surpass 20.5 points, making this a favorable spot for the Over
This Kent State Over 20.5 Team Points play is showing clear +EV value at +110, with a 4.6% edge. The fair value sits at +101, meaning this line is priced longer than it should be, creating a profitable discrepancy. Sharp books like BetOnline (-120), FanDuel (-108), and Bovada (-115) are all shaded toward the Over, indicating pro action backing this side. When multiple sharp operators are aligned on one number while a recreational book like Bet365 offers a looser price, it’s a strong signal of mispricing. With a positive expected value and market support from respected books, this Over 20.5 line is mathematically and market-wise the right side to be on.
Bet 5: Florida A&M Over 81.5 / Under 95.5 Team Points
Books: DraftKings / PointsBet
Odds: +185 / -140
This is an arbitrage bet meaning you bet on both outcomes and no matter what happens in the game you win money.
Let's say you take Florida A&M Over 81.5 Team Points on DraftKings at +433 odds for $51.19 If this side hits you win $272.
Let's say you take Florida A&M Under 95.5 Team Points on PointsBet at -120 odds for $148.81 If this side hits you win $272.
Total amount invested: $200
Total amount returned: $272
No matter the result you make at least $72.
(This is also a middle bet. If they land between 82 and 95 BOTH bets win.)
All of these picks were found via Pick The Odds. Pick The Odds is a comprehensive sports betting platform designed for bettors seeking to gain an edge through data-driven tools and real-time analytics. With tools such as the Odds Screen, Positive EV, Arbitrage, and more we have you covered for all yours sports betting needs
