Happy Tuesday! We have another stacked slate as feast week continues in the CBB world which means there are games throughout the entire day 75+ games in fact. Along with CBB we also have 3 NBA games, 1 NHL Game, and 2 CFB games to end the night. Let's jump right into the sports betting picks for tonight.
Bet #1: California Baptist / San Diego Under 146.5 Total Points (+115)
Book: Bovada
Odds: +115 (Can take up to -101)
When you look at the numbers, taking the under makes a lot of sense: California Baptist scores at a moderate clip (~76.3 ppg) while defending efficiently, per Fox Sports. San Diego, on the other hand, averaged just 70.1 points per game last season and gave up nearly 80.0 ppg—resulting in a negative scoring margin. Their pace of play is sluggish, and they’re not generating a ton of transition or high-possession opportunities. Meanwhile, Cal Baptist’s defense is solid, and they don’t push the ball recklessly. Both teams’ tendencies lean toward a more deliberate, controlled game — which makes a total of 146.5 feel ambitious. Given San Diego’s offensive inefficiency and Cal Baptist’s ability to clamp down, under 146.5 is a sharp play.
This is a +EV bet because the sportsbook is offering Under 146.5 at +115, while the fair value is priced at -101, meaning the true odds imply the line should be significantly shorter than what’s being offered. That gap creates the 7.8% expected value, since you're getting a better payout than the market-implied probability suggests. Additionally, the sharps are all lined up around -105 to -112, indicating sharp books heavily favour the under at worse prices than +115—clear evidence that the +115 line is mispriced and therefore +EV.
Bet #2 Jalen Johnson Over 9.5 Rebounds
Book: Hard Rock
Odds: -105 (Can take up to -123)
Jalen Johnson over 9.5 rebounds stands out as a strong play given both his season-long consistency and recent form. He’s already cleared this line 8 times this year, including in 3 of his last 5 games, reinforcing that this number sits right at — or slightly below — his true production level. Johnson is averaging 9.6 rebounds per game on the season and continues to log heavy minutes in a front-court role that puts him around the rim on both ends. His aggressive rebounding rate, especially on the defensive glass, combined with a matchup that should feature plenty of missed shots and rebounding chances, sets up a favorable environment for him to once again reach double-digit boards.
This is a +EV bet because the book is offering Over 9.5 rebounds at –105, while the fair value is calculated at –123, meaning the true odds suggest the line should be significantly more juiced than what you’re paying. That discrepancy creates the 7.6% expected value, since your price is much better than the market-implied probability. On top of that, the sharps are all heavily tilted between –131 and –139, indicating sharp books view the over as a stronger favorite than the posted –105, confirming that this line is mispriced and therefore +EV.
Bet #3 Roope Hintz Over 2.5 Shots On Goal
Book: ProphetX
Odds: +142 (Can take up to +133)
Roope Hintz is a compelling play for over 2.5 shots on goal right now because he’s trending well above that mark — his current season average is 2.88 shots per game. He’s been especially active in his most recent outings: over his last 10 games, he’s taken 26 shots, — so he’s averaging well over 2.5 in that stretch. More tellingly, in two very recent games, Hintz recorded 3 shots on goal in each (November 9 vs. Seattle and November 15 vs. Philadelphia). That consistency shows he’s not just laying back — he’s actively generating offense. Combine that with his role as a top-line center for Dallas (he’s their No. 1 center) and his solid time on ice (around ~18:09 per game this season), and you have a player who’s heavily involved in creating scoring chances. All of that supports a strong case for hitting the over on his shots prop.
Roope Hintz Over 2.5 SOG grades out as a +EV play because the best available price of +142 sits well above the market’s fair value of +133, giving you clear closing-line value. Multiple sharp books are also pricing this prop much lower — +113, +110, and +114 — indicating that sharper markets expect Hintz to go over more often than the soft line implies. Hintz consistently logs strong shot volume in competitive matchups like Dallas–Edmonton, where pace and scoring chances trend higher, and he’s averaged solid attempts in similar high-tempo spots. When the sharpest books are shaded heavily toward the over while a slower-moving book is still hanging +142, that discrepancy creates a mathematically positive-EV opportunity.
Bet #4 Eastern Michigan Over 20.5 Team Points
Book: Bet365
Odds: +140 (Can take up to +130)
Eastern Michigan Over 20.5 team points grades out as a +EV play because Bet365 is offering +140, while the market’s fair value sits at +130, creating immediate value before the line corrects. Sharp books are all significantly lower — +116, +120, and +116 — signaling that the sharper side of the market expects Eastern Michigan to exceed this number more often than the soft +140 price implies. The Eagles have also cleared 20.5 points in 9 games already this season, showing consistent offensive output that aligns with where the sharp books are shaded. When a slow-moving book hangs a number 20–25 cents off the sharper consensus, and the historical scoring profile supports the over, it forms a clear positive-EV edge.
Bet 5: Reaves Over 4.5 / Under 4.5 Rebounds
Books: Bet365 / Hard Rock
Odds: +135 / -105
This is an arbitrage bet meaning you bet on both outcomes and no matter what happens in the game you win money.
Let's say you take Reaves Over 4.5 Rebounds on Bet365 at +135 odds for $90.76. If this side hits you win $213.
Let's say you take Reaves Under 4.5 Rebounds on Hard Rock at -105 odds for $109.24. If this side hits you win $213.
Total amount invested: $200
Total amount returned: $213
No matter the result you make at least $13.
All of these picks were found via Pick The Odds. Pick The Odds is a comprehensive sports betting platform designed for bettors seeking to gain an edge through data-driven tools and real-time analytics. With tools such as the Odds Screen, Positive EV, Arbitrage, and more we have you covered for all yours sports betting needs.
