Happy Wednesday! We have a stacked slate as we inch closer to Thanksgiving! 70+ CBB games, 9 NBA Games and finally 15 NHL Games. Let's jump into the sports betting picks for all these leagues in action.
Bet #1 St Johns vs Auburn Under 80.5 Total Points 1st Half
Book: Hard Rock
Odds: +100 (Can take up to -113)
St. John’s vs. Auburn projects as a strong Under 80.5 first-half look because both teams, despite high full-game scoring averages, typically start slower than their final numbers suggest. Auburn’s offense leans heavily on second-chance points and physicality that often ramps up later in the game, while St. John’s defensive efficiency and ability to limit clean early possessions can suppress tempo in the opening 20 minutes. Both teams also play fast overall, but early halves in high-pace matchups often feature more feeling-out possessions, lower shooting efficiency, and fewer transition opportunities before adjustments kick in. With the pace not yet peaking and both defenses capable of disrupting rhythm early, the first half has a strong chance to stay under 80.5 points.
This Under 80.5 1H play is +EV because we're getting +100, while multiple sharp books are pricing the same line at -119, -140, and -125, showing clear market resistance toward the under. With a fair value of -113, the true implied probability is significantly higher than the even-money price being offered, creating a meaningful edge. That gap between the offered odds and the sharp projections produces a 6.3% expected value, signaling that the market’s most respected books believe the under should be favored—not a coin flip. Anytime you can grab +100 on a line the sharps have shaded heavily to the minus side, you're locking in long-term profitable value.
Bet #2 Josh Hart Over 4.5 Assists
Book: Bet365
Odds: -105 (Can take up to -121)
Josh Hart Over 4.5 assists is a strong look given both his season-long production and recent form. He’s covered this line 7 times already this year, and he’s hit it in 4 of his last 5 games, averaging 6.6 assists over that stretch, which shows a clear upward trend in his playmaking role. Hart has seen increased on-ball usage with the second unit, and his minutes remain consistently high, often in the low-to-mid 30s, giving him ample opportunity to create. He also benefits from playing alongside efficient shooters and strong cutters, which naturally boosts his assist potential. With elevated involvement, positive recent trends, and a proven track record of hitting this number, the Over 4.5 assists carries strong statistical support.
This Josh Hart Over 4.5 Assists play is +EV because we're getting -105 on a line that sharp books have heavily shaded toward the over, with prices sitting at -150, -125, and -136, signaling strong market confidence that Hart clears this number. The fair value is -121, meaning the true implied probability is notably higher than what -105 suggests, creating a clear pricing gap. That discrepancy produces a 6.8% expected value, showing that the sportsbook offering -105 is meaningfully off-market. When multiple sharp books align on the over while you're paying a discounted price, it’s the exact scenario where +EV bettors gain long-term profitability.
Bet #3 Matthew Schaefer Under 0.5 Points
Book: UniBet
Odds: -103 (Can take up to -111)
This Matthew Schaefer Under 0.5 Points play grades out as +EV because we're getting -103, while sharp books have this same under priced much heavier at -128, -127, and -130, signaling a strong market lean toward him staying off the scoresheet. With a fair value of -111, the true implied probability suggests the under should be a clear favorite, not nearly a pick’em. That discrepancy produces a 3.9% expected value, meaning the sportsbook offering -103 is off-market and giving a discounted price relative to sharp projections. Anytime you can bet an under that sharper books aggressively shade toward the minus side—especially on a player who hasn’t recorded a point in his last five games—you’re capturing genuine long-term value.
Bet 4: Gardner-Webb +3.5 / Navy -3.5
Books: FanDuel / Caesars
Odds: +154 / -110
This is an arbitrage bet meaning you bet on both outcomes and no matter what happens in the game you win money.
Let's say you take Gardner-Webb +3.5 on FanDuel at +154 odds for $85.82. If this side hits you win $217.
Let's say you take Navy -3.5 on Caesars at -110 odds for $114.18. If this side hits you win $217.
Total amount invested: $200
Total amount returned: $217
No matter the result you make at least $17.
All of these picks were found via Pick The Odds. Pick The Odds is a comprehensive sports betting platform designed for bettors seeking to gain an edge through data-driven tools and real-time analytics. With tools such as the Odds Screen, Positive EV, Arbitrage, and more we have you covered for all yours sports betting needs.
