Happy Wednesday! The Blue Jays were able to snag game 4 last night setting up a thrilling game 5 tonight! Along with game 5 of the World Series we also 10 NBA games, a single NHL game, and a pair of CFB games. Let's not waste any more time and jump straight into the sports betting picks for tonight!
Bet 1: Ohtani Over 1.5 Total Bases
Book: Fanatics
Odds: +110 (Can take up to -102)
Shohei Ohtani’s Over 1.5 Total Bases is a strong look heading into tonight’s World Series matchup. In Game 3 just a couple days ago, Ohtani went an incredible 4-for-4 with two doubles and two home runs — racking up over 10 total bases by himself. He’s seeing the ball as well as anyone right now, boasting a postseason OPS north of 1.200 and consistently barreling pitches in all zones. Given his elite splits against right-handed pitching and his current hot streak, asking him to notch two or more total bases again feels well within reach.
This Shohei Ohtani Over 1.5 Total Bases prop is showing clear +EV value, making it a smart betting target for Game 4. Fanatics is offering it at +110, while sharp books like Circa and DraftKings have it priced around -115 — implying a fair value of roughly -102. That price discrepancy creates a +6.0% expected value edge, meaning bettors are getting a significantly better return compared to the true odds. When sharp money and market consensus sit on the more expensive side, grabbing plus money on Ohtani — especially given his elite form and recent 10-total-base explosion in Game 3 — represents strong long-term value in the market.
Bet 2: Tobias Harris Over 5.5 Rebounds
Book: Hard Rock
Odds: +115 (Can take up to -112)
Tobias Harris Over 5.5 Rebounds looks like a strong play tonight given his recent consistency on the glass. He’s cleared this line in 3 of his first 4 games this season, averaging over 7 rebounds per contest. The only time he fell short was in a game where foul trouble limited him to just 15 minutes — still managing 4 boards despite the restricted playing time. When he stays on the floor, Harris consistently logs heavy minutes and positions himself well on both ends, especially against teams that allow strong rebounding numbers to forwards. This line sits a touch too low given his role and early-season form.
Tobias Harris Over 5.5 Rebounds is a strong +EV play with a clear edge in the market. Hard Rock has this line listed at +115, while sharp books like DraftKings (-128), FanDuel (-125), and BetOnline (-135) are all heavily juiced toward the over — signaling strong support from sharper bettors. The fair value sits around -112, giving this bet an impressive +13.8% expected value. That kind of discrepancy means the current price offers significant positive long-term equity, especially on a player who’s covered this line in 3 of 4 games and only missed due to foul trouble. Getting plus money in a market where sharps are laying juice makes this a textbook +EV opportunity.
Bet 3: William Nylander Under 2.5 Shots On Goal
Book: NoVig
Odds: +113 (Can take up to -104)
William Nylander Under 2.5 Shots on Goal stands out as a solid value play based on his early-season trends. Through five games this year, he has yet to record 3 or more shots in a single outing, averaging just 1.8 shots per game despite maintaining solid ice time and offensive usage. His shot volume has noticeably dipped compared to last season, as he’s been focusing more on playmaking and distributing the puck within Toronto’s balanced top-six rotation. With opponents tightening defensive coverage and limiting his clean looks, the under 2.5 line aligns well with his current form and shot profile.
William Nylander Under 2.5 Shots on Goal is a strong +EV bet backed by sharp market signals. It’s currently listed at +113, while sharp books like DraftKings (-120), FanDuel (-125), and Bovada (-115) are all pricing the same line significantly lower — implying a fair value of around -104. That creates an 8.7% expected value edge, meaning bettors are getting plus money on a line that the sharper side of the market sees as a favorite. With Nylander failing to record 3 or more shots in any of his five games this season, the stats and market both align — making this a high-value under in tonight’s matchup.
Bet 4: Jacob Clark Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Book: VirginBet
Odds: -116 (Can take up to -135)
Jacob Clark Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns is a strong play given his recent form and the matchup ahead. He’s cleared this line in multiple games this season, showing consistent red-zone efficiency and solid command of the passing game. Clark faces a Florida International defense that has struggled all year, ranking near the bottom nationally in passing yards and touchdowns allowed. With FIU’s secondary giving up explosive plays and Clark’s offense trending upward, two or more passing scores looks well within reach in this favorable spot.
Jacob Clark Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns is showing clear +EV value in the market. Virgin Bet has this line at -116, while sharp books like FanDuel (-158), BetOnline (-160), and Fanatics (-160) are all heavily juiced toward the over — signaling strong support from sharp money. The fair value sits around -135, creating a 6.9% expected value edge for bettors. That means you’re getting a discounted price compared to what sharper markets consider accurate. With Clark already clearing this number in multiple games and facing a weak Florida International defense, the stats and market alignment make this a profitable +EV betting opportunity.
Bet 5: Jalen Green Over / Under 2.5 Assists
Books: Bet365 / NoVig
Odds: +110 / +160
This is an arbitrage bet meaning you bet on both outcomes and no matter what happens in the game you win money.
Let's say you take Jalen Green Over 2.5 Assists on Bet365 at +110 odds for $110.64 If this side hits you win $232.
Let's say you take Jalen Green Under 2.5 Assists on NoVig at +160 odds for $89.36 If this side hits you win $232.
Total amount invested: $200
Total amount returned: $232
No matter the result you make at least $32.
All of these picks were found via Pick The Odds. Pick The Odds is a comprehensive sports betting platform designed for bettors seeking to gain an edge through data-driven tools and real-time analytics. With tools such as the Odds Screen, Positive EV, Arbitrage, and more we have you covered for all yours sports betting needs.
